Francois Fillon’s path to victory in the primaries of the right-wing was clear when he hardened his views on certain issues such as security, immigration and abortion.
The leader of the ultra right-wing hasn´t got all the cards on her side as there is an internal power struggle going on within the party that can harm her party’s prestige.
The Emmanuel Macron phenomenon is the darling of the establishment, the one in favor of globalization, and the FTA with the USA, something Hollande was adamantly opposed to.
Trump symbolizes the return of the neocons with a different face. The apparent power struggle inside the Republican Party served as a platform to increase Trump´s popularity and image as a David against the GOP Goliath